Heavy truck sales in the first half of 2011 exceeded 540,000 in the second half of the year


In June 2011, the heavy truck market sold approximately 63,600 vehicles (including tractors, trucks, and non-integrated vehicles), which was a year-on-year decline of 32.2%. The domestic heavy truck market continued its slump in production and sales in the expected downturn.

Among them, companies are unevenly hot and cold. In the first group army, Dongfeng Commercial Vehicles continued to rank first in terms of monthly sales of more than 14,000 units. Both FAW Jiefang and China National Heavy Duty Truck Corporation both recorded a decline of more than 50% year-on-year in June. The sales volume for that month was approximately 11,000 vehicles and 8,000 vehicles respectively.

In the second group army, Shaanxi Automobile sold 6,800 vehicles, a year-on-year decrease of 42.9%. Futian Auman's performance was more eye-catching. June sales were basically the same as in 2010 and sales were about 9100 units. It was the only one among the top 5 heavy truck manufacturers to remain flat year-on-year. enterprise.

At the same time, due to the overall market fatigue, the performance of the Third Group Army is not satisfactory. Beipen, Hongyan, and Hualing were all down by more than 20% in June 2010. In the first half of the year, the decline was widened on a monthly basis, and the Third Group Army had a strong expansion of the site.

Due to the unsatisfactory sales in the months of May and June, in the first half of 2011, the heavy truck market sold a total of 543,100 vehicles, down 7% from the 584,000 vehicles in 2010.

Judging from the historical trajectory, the heavy truck market in the first half of 2011 showed an increase in monthly growth rate and monthly decline. From January to March, the heavy truck market sold a total of 290,400 units, an increase of 8.4% year-on-year; from January to April, the heavy truck market sold 396,500 vehicles, an increase of 3.33% year-on-year. From May onwards, cumulative sales in the heavy-duty truck market have fallen, falling by 2.29% from the previous month in May. In the first half of the year, the cumulative decline further expanded to 7%.

The first half of 2011 has passed and the gap between the three major group forces continues to narrow. The growth rate of the first group army headed by Dongfeng Commercial Vehicles, China National Heavy Duty Truck Group and FAW Jiefang Group has been negative. The sales volume of the First Half of CNHTC declined 19.7% year-on-year, and the liberation of FAW was affected by the drastic drop in the tractor market, which was a drop of 34% year-on-year. Top of the list; Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle saw the smallest drop, but it also saw a slight decline of 0.8% year-on-year. However, Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle Co., Ltd.’s overall sales volume in the first half of 2011 (including medium-sized cards, heavy trucks, passenger cars, passenger car chassis, special vehicles, etc.) was close to 200,000, an increase of 14.8% year-on-year, and sales of medium and heavy trucks were nearly 140,000, occupying the market. The rate remains the industry leader.

The second group army formed by Shaanxi Auto and Futian Auman maintained a slight increase. In the previous June, Shaanxi Automobile Heavy Trucks sold a total of 65,900 units, an increase of 2.2% year-on-year; Futian Auman sold a total of 65,900 units, a year-on-year increase of 12.8%.

The third group army is overall more rosy, and its market share is not small. From Jan. to Jun. 2011, sales of JAC heavy trucks continued to maintain the top position in the industry, reaching 90%; Beiben and Hongyan sold 26,500 heavy trucks and 22,700 units respectively, an increase of 13.2% and 17% year-on-year; No. 9 Hualing heavy truck also has a slight increase.

Controversy continues in the second half of the year.

In view of the second half of 2011, the majority view is that the heavy truck market will reach the lowest point in July and August, and the monthly sales volume will hardly exceed 60,000 units. On the one hand, the hot weather in July and August is the traditional off-season sales of heavy trucks. On the other hand, negative factors such as high oil prices, low freight rates, and tight consumer credit will continue to plague the logistics vehicle market. In addition, the “Regulations on the Protection of Highway Safety” formally implemented on July 1, 2011, due to the implementation of the regulations, the implementation situation in various regions is not yet clear, and most users are watching. This also hinders the enthusiasm of buying and changing cars to a certain extent.

However, for the argument of Kim 9 Silver 10, the industry is controversial. Some people believe that in the second half of the heavy truck market can not see the big positive factors, the whole year is expected to decline 15% -20%. Even in the traditional September peak season, there is little improvement.

Some people also hold different opinions. With the arrival of the traditional peak season in September and October, there will be a small upsurge of sales in the heavy truck market, which will push the market for 2011 to a small improvement from September to December. Among them, the favorable factors include the centralized consumption of local fiscal budgets in the fourth quarter, the certain pull of toll roads for the logistics vehicle market, and the winter storage of heavy truck companies. As a result, the year-round decline is expected to be controlled at about 10%, so as not to overly bleak.



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